The first-place Cowboys have won four straight games and it all started with a 27-20 win at Philly five weeks ago. They are off a big upset of the Saints last night. Dak holds the ball too long and keeps getting sacked. He also leads the league in fumbles. THis is huge divisional game and I expect it to be close.
The Eagles just got their groove going and have won back-to-back games for the first time this season. They finally look somewhat like the team from late last season. Carson Wentz finally looks comfortable in the offense. I'll take the points with the Eagles as our 10* NFL Game of the Week.

I don't like laying big numbers, but it's hard to see how the Bengals score many points in this matchup with Jeff Driskel and without A.J. Green on the road against a top-tier defense. The Chargers have won four times by at least 14 points, showing they can blow out bad teams. The Chargers' pass offense is second in DVOA while the Bengals pass defense is 27th, and there's a similar split running the ball as well. Rivers should have a huge night passing as he has thrown 2 or more TD's in every game this season and the Bengals defense is very bad.

OREG ST has scored 80 points in 3 of 4 games but it came against a #344, #299 and #167 defense that has a tempo rank of #88. The Beavers now face a STL D that is #22 that also plays to a #33 tempo. Both offenses are pretty poor and I look for a lower scoring game here on Sunday afternoon.

The Colts were on a roll heading into Week 13, with five straight wins and eight straight games with three-plus passing TDs for Andrew Luck. Then they got shut out by the Jaguars in Jacksonville.

This is going to be a great AFC South game that will be decided by less than a field goal.
Take the points as I like Indy as long as they don't turn the ball over and give the Texans easy opportunities. Here's where Luck and the Colts get their revenge and end the Texans winnings streak. Play the COLTS.

May seem strange to go under this number when Montana has scored 72 or more points in each game but that’s why we have value.
I expect a defensive battle and this total to stay LOW,

The Grizzlies certainly do not push the pace as they are #253 in tempo but they have faced the #269 set of defenses with the best two #88 and #135, Cal Irvine is #61.
Now look at the temp of the two best D;s that Montana has faced and they are #86 and #177, Irvine is #307. Play the UNDER as your Saturday night college hoops play.

Denver doesn't need to completely rely on defense as they have done in the past. Nikola Jokic needs to just run the offense, play defense, and dominate as he can. Denver will move down the court with their offense - and their super skilled bigman will excel vs Atlanta.


Putting their individual stats aside, Atlanta goes through some real scoring droughts that has led to a lot of their bad losses. None of the young players in Atlanta are in the ballpark of the Nuggets class but it's not as easy as what it appears. Trae Young has put up 16/game but is shooting just 38% and he doesn't have a lot of help. I look and expect the



Denver Nuggets to win by 12 or more here on Saturday night.

Good sized number to be spotting against Colorado, but I still have the required value here based on my Lightning being a bigger favorite. Domingue is no sure thing in goal, but he's been sharp of late for Tampa with back to back really good outings, and Domingue is 6-1 at home this season. Perhaps a little added motivation here as the Lightning were blanked 1-0 at Colorado earlier this season. The Avalanche are on the last leg of their road trip, so we cold catch them a little weary here. In any event, the Lightning fit as the play here and I'll go ahead and lay the juice.

St Bonny has beaten Buffalo 4 straight times but I like this Buffalo team a lot here.


The Bonnies (4-5) also are coming off a big win, an 82-40 decision over Siena for their third straight win. Look for a major letdown after a 42 pt win.



Buffalo, which is ranked the AP Top 25 for the first time in school history this year, beat Arizona as a No. 13 seed in the NCAA tournament last year.

Bulls guard and leading scorer TJ Massinburg had the second triple-double in school history with 13 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists against Le Moyne, although the Bulls lead by only two early in the second half before going on a 23-0 run while holding Le Moyne without a field goal for almost 12 minutes. Shannon Evans II has the school's first triple-double, in 2014.

"Our guards did a good job of rebounding, and one thing coach always says is if a guard gets the rebound, he can automatically push the break and that goes into how we play, with a lot of fast breaks," Massinburg told the Buffalo News.

Look for Buffalo to get a double digit win here on Saturday afternoon.

I rarely put out picks this early but I think this line will go up soon.
I would play this as soon as you can. I can't see how this line doesn't go up. I realize its a big game for these 2 teams but ARMY is much better on both sides of the ball this year.
Army doesn't make mistakes and should move the ball with ease. I like ARMY by 14 or more.

Yes, we are backing a 2-7 team that is favored here by 6.5 pts.
The Fighting Illini have played the #5 schedule and while they have 7 losses ALL SEVEN were team ranked in the top 100 with 6 losses to teams that are #55 or better. Illinois has faced the 5th best slate of offense and 15th best slate of defenses. UNLV is 4-3 but that came against the #323 schedule and ALL SEVEN games were at home! They make their first trip to face a hungry, desperate team that has the #57 offense (118 was prev best the Rebels played). Illinois is coming off a loss vs Ohio St and after despite the continued losses, Underwood isn’t done believing in his squad. “I feel great about this team,” Underwood said. “These guys have all bought in.” Look for a big win here for ILLINOIS on Saturday afternoon.